Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#296
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.8#22
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#319
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 29.2% 14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 50.4% 75.9% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 80.2% 90.3% 78.0%
Conference Champion 22.7% 35.5% 19.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 0.9% 3.1%
First Four13.4% 19.0% 12.1%
First Round10.1% 18.8% 8.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.80.0 - 1.8
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.1 - 2.8
Quad 20.1 - 1.10.2 - 3.9
Quad 30.7 - 2.70.8 - 6.6
Quad 412.7 - 7.913.5 - 14.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2018 173   @ Wyoming L 76-83 18%    
  Nov 16, 2018 67   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-78 5%    
  Nov 23, 2018 268   @ Niagara L 81-83 35%    
  Nov 24, 2018 275   IUPUI L 69-70 45%    
  Dec 01, 2018 46   @ LSU L 68-85 4%    
  Dec 08, 2018 55   @ Central Florida L 59-75 5%    
  Dec 11, 2018 210   @ Louisiana Monroe L 68-73 26%    
  Dec 15, 2018 241   @ Portland L 71-74 30%    
  Dec 19, 2018 236   SE Louisiana L 70-73 50%    
  Dec 22, 2018 22   @ Wisconsin L 58-79 2%    
  Jan 05, 2019 325   @ Alabama St. W 77-74 49%    
  Jan 07, 2019 349   @ Alabama A&M W 74-66 69%    
  Jan 12, 2019 343   Southern W 74-68 79%    
  Jan 14, 2019 346   Alcorn St. W 76-69 80%    
  Jan 19, 2019 243   @ Texas Southern L 78-81 30%    
  Jan 21, 2019 297   @ Prairie View W 78-77 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 335   Jackson St. W 69-65 73%    
  Feb 02, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-70 72%    
  Feb 04, 2019 344   Mississippi Valley W 79-72 78%    
  Feb 09, 2019 343   @ Southern W 74-68 61%    
  Feb 11, 2019 346   @ Alcorn St. W 76-69 63%    
  Feb 16, 2019 243   Texas Southern L 78-81 52%    
  Feb 18, 2019 297   Prairie View W 78-77 61%    
  Feb 23, 2019 335   @ Jackson St. W 69-65 55%    
  Mar 02, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-70 55%    
  Mar 04, 2019 344   @ Mississippi Valley W 79-72 61%    
  Mar 07, 2019 325   Alabama St. W 77-74 67%    
  Mar 09, 2019 349   Alabama A&M W 74-66 82%    
Projected Record 13.5 - 14.5 11.3 - 6.7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.5 4.8 6.1 5.0 2.8 0.7 22.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 4.5 6.2 4.7 1.8 0.4 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.2 5.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.5 4.9 7.0 9.0 10.3 11.3 11.7 11.1 9.9 7.9 5.3 2.8 0.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 2.8    2.7 0.1
16-2 93.2% 5.0    4.4 0.6
15-3 76.6% 6.1    4.4 1.6 0.1
14-4 48.2% 4.8    2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 22.0% 2.5    0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0
12-6 6.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.7% 22.7 15.6 5.6 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 76.1% 76.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
17-1 2.8% 62.6% 62.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0
16-2 5.3% 56.7% 56.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 2.3
15-3 7.9% 44.7% 44.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.3 4.4
14-4 9.9% 32.0% 32.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.1 6.8
13-5 11.1% 20.5% 20.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3 8.9
12-6 11.7% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 1.7 10.1
11-7 11.3% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.8 10.5
10-8 10.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 10.0
9-9 9.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 8.8
8-10 7.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.0
7-11 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.9
6-12 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.5
5-13 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 15.5 82.6 0.0%